Today’s Trade Idea: Booking profits in TJX & market update

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Booking profits in TJX & market update

This morning we are going to close/book profits in our bucket 2 swing trading position in TJX as it is nearing (but hasn’t reached) profit target #1 at $92. This is also to de-risk the portfolio heading into Friday’s August jobs data and the three day Labor day weekend.

We are staying with our SPY bucket 2 swing trading short for now (even though it hit its predetermined stop loss at $445 yesterday.

Market Update

Yesterday’s (Tuesday) rally in equities by our estimation was largely a result of a weaker than expected JOLTS jobs data point, which led to a rally in the bond market (lower bond yields). This is a classic reaction function by algorithms buying stocks when yields drop. 

In our view this is also a serious bear trap, as a weakening jobs market has over history always led to lower stock prices.

Chart